According to the source, the post asks what price BTC could reach by the end of October but gives no forecast or data. source: X Historically, October has delivered gains more often than losses for BTC, which traders refer to as Uptober, making seasonality a commonly watched tailwind. source: coinglass.com Key market drivers that have historically influenced BTC into month-end include US inflation prints and Fed communications that shift rates expectations and risk appetite. source: bls.gov; federalreserve.gov Spot Bitcoin ETF creations and redemptions have been a major intraday demand signal in 2024, so tracking daily net flows remains critical for price discovery. source: bloomberg.com; farside.co.uk Options and futures positioning around Deribit and CME month-end and quarter-start can concentrate gamma and liquidity, amplifying moves or pinning price near high open-interest strikes. source: deribit.com/insights; cmegroup.com Structurally, the April 2024 Bitcoin halving cut issuance by 50 percent, which reduces new supply and can moderate miner sell pressure over time. source: bitcoin.org; glassnode.com

According to @Tetranode, concerns are rising about Bitcoin’s long-term security budget as future halvenings reduce block rewards. The core issue is whether transaction fees alone will be sufficient to incentivize miners and prevent 51% attacks. Verified analysis from Glassnode and BitMEX Research confirms that after several halvings, security will depend more heavily on fees. Current on-chain data shows that fee revenue remains volatile and often insufficient compared to block rewards, especially during low demand periods (source: Glassnode, 2024-05). As of now, there is no consensus among core developers to change Bitcoin’s tokenomics, but the industry continues to monitor fee dynamics to ensure network security (source: BitMEX Research, 2024-06). Traders should watch fee market trends and hashrate fluctuations, as these are increasingly critical for Bitcoin’s security and, consequently, price stability.